HelloAG AgOS
Import Dependency Monitor
Annual Food Import Bill
US$840M
~18% of total import expenditure · 2025 STATIN estimate
Substitution Opportunity
US$310M
Imports currently producible locally with existing agricultural capacity
HelloAG Target (5-Year)
US$185M
Import substitution enabled by TAII + Connect scale to full Jamaica
Forex Saved (5-Year)
J$29B
Estimated foreign exchange retained in Jamaican economy via local sourcing
Annual Import Bill by Category US$840M Total
Grain, Flour & Rice
US$269M 32%
Poultry, Meat & Fish
US$202M 24%
Dairy, Oils & Fats
US$126M 15%
Fresh Produce
US$92M 11%
Processed Food
US$84M 10%
Beverages & Other
US$67M 8%
Substitutability Analysis
37% local sub.
Cannot substitute (wheat, rice) — 40%
Partially substitutable — 23%
Fully substitutable locally — 37%
Local Substitution Opportunities by Commodity US$310M addressable
CommodityImport ValueLocal CapacityHAG OpportunityScore
Onion & Garlic US$28M High — St. Elizabeth US$22M High
Fresh Tomato US$19M High — Clarendon, St. Cath. US$15M High
Sweet Pepper US$12M Medium — St. Elizabeth US$9M High
Broiler Chicken US$85M High — National US$35M Medium
Fresh Herbs US$8M High — Trelawny, St. Mary US$7M High
Carrots US$11M High — Manchester US$9M High
Cucumber US$7M Medium — Clarendon US$5M Medium
Yam US$15M High — St. Mary, Portland US$13M High
Dairy Products US$62M Low — capacity gap US$8M Low
5-Year Import Trajectory · With and Without HelloAG Intervention J$29B forex retention target by 2031
Import bill (baseline trajectory)
Import bill with HelloAG scale
US$1.1B US$900M US$750M 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2031 Now -US$185M
Year 1 Target
US$18M
Import substitution from TAII-connected farms. 45 hotel properties. 200 enrolled farmer enterprises. North Coast and Kingston priority corridors.
Year 3 Target
US$75M
Full TAII national coverage. 500+ enrolled enterprises. Export linkage programme active. CARICOM supply chain connections established.
Year 5 Target
US$185M
National import substitution at scale. Measurable forex retention. PIOJ-trackable food security improvement. Regional model for CARICOM replication.