HelloAG AgOS
Food Security Intelligence
74.2 / 100 STABLE
National Food Security Index
74.2
Stable · Grade A
Jamaica's food supply is in a stable zone. Price levels are elevated in two commodity categories but supply is broadly available. Climate risk is moderate with wet season conditions active. The primary vulnerability is the tourism supply gap in Scotch Bonnet and Thyme.
↑ +1.8 pts from 4 weeks ago · Trend: improving
12-Week FSI Trend
W13 Now 74.2
Price Stability Index
68
Price levels across 12 tracked commodities. Thyme and Scotch Bonnet driving downward pressure.
↓ −3 pts · Elevated commodity volatility
Supply Availability Index
79
Physical food availability across parishes. St. James and Westmoreland showing moderate shortfalls.
↑ +1 pt · Wet season improving availability
Food Access Index
72
Affordability relative to household income. Price spikes in herbs reducing access for lower-income households.
→ Unchanged · Stable purchasing power
Climate Risk Index
77
Inverse climate threat score. Active wet season with favourable rainfall for most parishes. No storm systems active.
↑ +4 pts · No active storm threats
Parish-Level FSI Breakdown 3 parishes under 70
ParishFSIScoreStatus
St. Elizabeth82
Stable
Manchester80
Stable
St. Ann78
Stable
Clarendon77
Stable
St. Mary76
Stable
St. Catherine71
Moderate
Portland70
Moderate
Trelawny65
Stressed
St. Thomas64
Stressed
St. James62
Stressed
Active FSI Risk Factors
🌶️
Herb Commodity Scarcity · Trelawny
Thyme supply in critical shortage for week 3. Price at J$345/kg — 34% above seasonal norm. Tourism hospitality sector most exposed. FSI Price Stability sub-index impact: −4 pts.
🏨
Tourism Supply Gap · North Coast
Tourism Demand Score at 68 — 32% of hotel food requirements currently met by imports. TAII matching active but volume insufficient. St. James FSI depressed by supply-demand mismatch.
📈
Price Volatility Concentration
CVI at 31 — above the 25-point threshold. Two commodities (Thyme, Scotch Bonnet) driving 60% of price instability. Substitution pressure on callaloo and escallion as a result.
Policy Implications
  • FSI at 74.2 represents Jamaica's strongest measured food security position in 3 years — direct result of improved supply chain intelligence infrastructure.
  • The 3 stressed parishes (Trelawny, St. Thomas, St. James) account for 48% of tourism hospitality revenue — a food security and economic risk concentration requiring targeted intervention.
  • Closing the Tourism Demand Score gap from 68% to 80% local sourcing would add approximately 5.2 FSI points nationally and redirect US$60M+ in food spend to Jamaican farmers annually.
  • HelloAG is the only system currently capable of measuring this index. Institutionalising it as a national KPI requires a government data sharing agreement with RADA/AMIB.