Parish Period Commodity
πŸ—Ί Jamaica β€” Parish Weather Risk Profile
Click any parish card to drill down. Colour = rainfall intensity. Border = selected parish.
πŸ“… Annual Rainfall β€” All Parishes (mm)
Monthly average rainfall 2010–2026
🌑 Mean Temperature Range by Parish
Average min–max temperature Β°C
πŸ—“ Extreme Weather Events Timeline (2010–2026)
Hurricanes, droughts, and flooding events affecting agricultural production
🌑 Monthly Mean Temperature (°C)
All parishes β€” monthly averages
πŸ”Ί Temperature Anomaly (vs 2010 baseline)
Annual deviation from baseline β€” warming trend
🌑 Temperature vs Tomato Farmgate Price
Higher temperatures during growing season correlate with yield stress and price increases
🌧 Monthly Rainfall (mm)
Wet season May–Oct vs Dry season Nov–Apr
πŸ“Š Annual Total Rainfall by Year
Below 1,000mm = drought risk year
🌧 Rainfall vs Tomato Price Impact
Low rainfall months drive scarcity and farmgate price increases
πŸ’§ Relative Humidity (%) by Month
High humidity increases disease pressure (fungal, bacterial)
πŸ’§ Humidity vs Crop Disease Risk
Above 85% RH β€” high blight and mold risk
β˜€οΈ Drought Event Calendar (2010–2026)
Months with rainfall < 40% of long-term average. Orange = moderate drought, Red = severe drought.
πŸ“ˆ Drought Impact on Tomato Price
Price during drought months vs normal months
πŸ– Drought Risk Index by Parish
Composite index: frequency Γ— severity Γ— crop exposure
πŸ“‹ Major Drought Events β€” Jamaica
πŸŒ€ Hurricane Events & Impact (2010–2026)
Track, category, and agricultural damage estimates
πŸ“ˆ Post-Hurricane Price Spike
Average farmgate price 0–12 weeks after major hurricane
πŸ“‹ Hurricane Impact Log β€” Jamaica 2010–2026
πŸ“Š Weather Variable Γ— Crop Price Correlation Matrix
Values: +1 = strong positive, -1 = strong inverse, 0 = no relationship. Red = inverse (higher weather β†’ lower price), Green = positive (higher weather β†’ higher price).
πŸ”΅ Scatter β€” Rainfall vs Tomato Price
Each point = one month. Trend line shows relationship direction.
πŸ”΄ Scatter β€” Temperature vs Tomato Price
Temperature stress above 32Β°C causes yield reduction
⚠️ About this forecast

Seasonal forecasts are based on historical weather patterns (2010–2026) combined with crop price sensitivity analysis. They are indicative β€” actual conditions depend on real-time weather data from the Meteorological Service of Jamaica (metservice.gov.jm).

πŸ“ˆ 6-Month Price Forecast β€” Tomato
Based on seasonal weather patterns, historical price cycles, and current supply conditions
🌧 Expected Rainfall Outlook (Next 6 Months)
vs long-term average for the same period
🌑 Expected Temperature Outlook
Β°C above/below seasonal norm
πŸ“‹ Client Advisory Generator

Select a parish, commodity, and weather variable below to generate a formatted advisory output you can share directly with clients in consultation sessions or WhatsApp messages.

Scenario
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